You might've heard Bryce Harper's season got off to quite a start. The Washington Nationals outfieldera'whom several considered a preseason Most Effective Player prospect just twenty years old, created a pair of homers in the season opener. The performance has induced a number of discuss what is ahead in 2013 for Mr. Harper, including a bit by other Bleacher Report MLB Lead Writer Zachary N. Rymer on why Harper's warm start is merely the beginning of what'll be an MVP strategy. But do MVPs must have to start hot to be able to obtain the hardware? A review of the first-month production of past MVPs dating back to the change of the century revealed some remarkable results. From 2,000 through 2012, there have been 25 total MVP-hitter seasons. (For the purposes of the analysis, we'll ignore Justin Verlander's 2011 since, comparing hitters to pitchers is like comparing apples to, well, you know.) Here are the common triple-slash stats (average/on-base/slugging) for the initial month of these 25 seasons:A.321/.415/.633. Fairly darn good, huh? In chart form, it seems like this: The first-month triple-slash averages of an MVP season:.321/.415/.633. But think about various other key MVP numbers? You realize, the ones that get voters all warm and bothered? The first-month averages of an MVP season: seven house runs, 20 RBI and 18 runs. Again, that's dynamite generation in the initial month: seven house runs, 20 RBI and 18 runs scored. Where things get even crazier, however, is with OPS (on-base plus slugging), or more particularly sOPS+, which is a model of OPS that scales the stat to league average, which is 100a'anything above 100 is better than league average. Get it? But before we look at that, let's consider comparing these MVPs to themselves. Looks challenging, right? However it can be carried out using a fun little full named tOPS+. All that tOPS+ does is allow us to evaluate Miguel Cabrera against...Miguel Cabrera, although it looks overwhelming. Say whaaat? To simplify, let us focus on Cabrera's 2012 Triple Crowna'and MVPa'season. In April of this past year, Cabrera submitted an OPS of.940. Now, his sOPS+ for that month was 157, meaning Cabrera's April OPS was 57 percent better than league average. That's the material of an MVP. However the tOPS+ of Cabrera's April was only 88, meaning it was below average...when in comparison to Cabrera's overall 2012 OPS of.999. Put simply, Miguel Cabrera's OPS in April of 2012 was below-average for Miguel Cabrera's OPS in the entirety of the 2012 time. Probably this data is likely to make more sense:, If you should be still with me The first-month averages of an season: sOPS+ of 177 and tOPS+ of 97. Listed here is the takeaway from that: Whilst the average first-month sOPS+ of the past 25 specific MVP conditions was 177a'orA77 percent a lot better than leagueAaverage. The typical tOPS+ was actually just 97a'orAthree percent worse in comparison with the MVPs' OPS for their whole award-winning time. Put yet another way: A hot start is really a essential section of an MVP year, as Justin Morneau, who posted an of 78 in April 2006, was the only champion since 2000 with an OPS below the group average in his first month. But it just may be even more very important to a player with MVP goals to have better whilst the year advances, as 15 of the 25 latest winners had a OPSa'for thema'in their first month. To create this straight back around to Mr. Harper, while his Opening Day exhibiting was mighty impressive, Bryce might want to keep hitting this montha'and beyonda'if he hopes to own his name on the honor at season's end. All numbers originate from Baseball Reference.
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